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Risk Assessment Methodology

In-depth information on our risk assessment methodology.

Risk Assessment Categories

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Risk Assessment Methodology Overview

All alerts published in the Safeture Platform are assigned a severity level (low, medium, or high) as well as one or more out of the 21 different alert risk categories.

The country risk assessments are made based on seven different risk categories but have five different risk levels (negligible, low, medium, high and critical). Below you find in-depth information on the risk assessment methodology.

Risk Categories – Alerts

Airstrike: attack conducted by an aircraft (including UAV).

Armed Conflict: armed clashes between two or more state actors or aspiring state actors involving conventional warfare tactics.

Civil Unrest: violent gatherings (be it riots or violence on behalf of protesters, or forcible dispersal by security forces).

Crime: opportunistic and/or smaller scale than organized crime.

Cyber-attack: conducted via cyberspace.

Developing: any incident with potential immediate effect with yet unclear circumstances, which requires immediate notification to clients before all details are clear (for example- an explosion may be a suicide bombing or a gas cylinder accident, but nonetheless needs to be reported immediately so that mitigating actions can be taken).

Earthquake: shift in tectonic plates, Earthquakes can range in size from very weak to catastrophic.

Fire: a large and destructive inflammation event that may threaten human life, health, and/or property.

Health: medical threat to peoples’ wellbeing or interference of medical installations.

Holiday: celebration/occasion that results in travel/operational disruptions.

Labor Action: strikes of different levels, from local disruptions to complete shutdowns.

Militancy: armed clashes involving at least one side that employs unconventional warfare tactics.

Organized Crime – racketeering, extortion, blackmail, trafficking and any large-scale organized criminal activities.

Piracy – criminal attack targeting naval vessel.

Politics – changes in policies/strategic developments which may impact travel/operations.

Protest – gathering of a number of people to demonstrate their shared public ideas.

Rocket/Mortar – usage of standoff weapons in a capacity other than airstrikes.

Service Failure – water/electricity/communications outages, etc.

Travel – any incident that would impact travel and does not fall in line with the other categories (for example: road work).

Volcano – eruption of hot lava, volcanic ash, and gases.

Weather – unusual weather conditions that may pose risk to human life, property and business continuity.

Image – risk categories alerts

Severity Degrees – Alerts

  • Low

Information that may be good to know, such as public transport disturbances, minor demonstrations or updates of previous security warnings.

  • Medium

Incidents or threats that may occur in the coming days or recently have occurred.

  • High

Immediate and serious threats to your safety and/or health.

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Country risk categories

Safeture has assigned each country an overall risk level. This risk level is weighted based on the risk levels of all seven country risk categories. These seven risk categories are the following:

  • Armed Conflict 
  • Civil Unrest 
  • Crime 
  • Health 
  • Kidnap and Ransom 
  • Militancy 
  • Political

Se an example of how it is displayed when you click on the risk section in the country information module:

country risk categories

Country risk levels

In the Safeture platform, every country is assigned an overall risk level, which is based on the combined risk levels for the different risk categories (crime, health, civil unrest, armed conflict, political, etc.). These risks are adjusted to the local context to reflect how the risks impact the operating environment in the country.

These are the five risk levels used for country risk assessments:

  • Negligible: the likelihood of a threat is low, with minimal security risks. Travel risk: travel can continue free from risk.
  • Low: the likelihood of a threat is limited. No substantial risk of physical harm, likely travel/operational disruptions. Travel risk: travel can continue as usual, while adhering to cultural norms and local laws.
  • Medium: the likelihood of a threat is presumed. Some risk of physical harm, likely additional travel/operational disruptions; maintain heightened vigilance. Travel risk: travel can continue while adhering to relevant security precautions.
  • High: the likelihood of a threat is probable. Considerable potential of physical harm, likely additional travel/operational disruptions; avoid non-essential travel to the area. Travel risk: travel should be limited to business-essential only.
  • Critical: the likelihood of being affected by a threat is severe. Professional support is required. Virtually certain potential of physical harm, likely additional travel/operational disruptions; avoid all travel to the area. Travel risk: avoid all travel.

Country Risk Assessment – Negligible Risk

The negligible risk level represents a minimal security risk.

  • Armed Conflict: Minimal potential of being directly or indirectly impacted by armed conflicting parts of the country.
  • Civil Unrest: Minimal potential of being directly or indirectly impacted by acts of civil unrest in parts of the country.
  • Crime: Minimal potential of being directly or indirectly impacted by criminal incidents in parts of the country.
  • Health: Minimal potential of being affected by serious disease/Adequate access to good medical services in most of the country.
  • Kidnap and Ransom: Minimal potential of being directly or indirectly impacted by acts of kidnapping in parts of the country.
  • Militancy: Minimal potential of being directly or indirectly affected by a militant attack in parts of the country.
  • Political Situation: Minimal potential for political changes that would affect operations in the country.

Country Risk Assessment – Low Risk

The low risk represents no substantial risk of physical harm, or likely travel/operational disruptions.

  • Armed Conflict: Limited potential of being directly or indirectly impacted by armed conflict in parts of the country.
  • Civil Unrest: Limited potential of being directly or indirectly impacted by acts of civil unrest in parts of the country.
  • Crime: Limited potential of being directly or indirectly affected by criminal incidents in parts of the country.
  • Health: Limited potential of being affected by serious disease/ adequate access to good medical services in at least most of the country.
  • Kidnap and Ransom: Limited potential of being directly or indirectly impacted by acts of kidnapping in parts of the country.
  • Militancy: Limited potential of being directly or indirectly affected by a militant attack in parts of the country.
  • Political Situation: Limited potential for significant political changes that would affect operations in the country.

Country Risk Assessment – Medium Risk

The medium risk level represents some risk of physical harm, and likely additional travel/operational disruptions; maintain heightened vigilance.

  • Armed Conflict: Some risk of being directly or indirectly impacted by armed conflict in parts or all of the country.
  • Civil Unrest: Some risk of being directly or indirectly impacted by acts of civil unrest in parts or all of the country.
  • Crime: Some risk of being directly or indirectly affected by criminal incidents in parts or all of the country.
  • Health: Some risk of being affected by serious disease/ adequate access to good medical services in only limited parts of the country.
  • Kidnap and Ransom: Some risk of being directly or indirectly impacted by acts of kidnapping in parts, or all of the country.
  • Militancy: Some risk of being directly or indirectly affected by a militant attack in parts of the country or all the entire country.
  • Political Situation: Some risk of significant political changes that would affect operations in the country.

Country Risk Assessment – High Risk

High Risk – substantial potential of physical harm, likely additional travel/operational disruptions; avoid nonessential travel to the area.

  • Armed Conflict: Likely risk of being directly or indirectly impacted by armed conflict in parts or all of the country.
  • Civil Unrest: Likely risk of being directly or indirectly impacted by acts of civil unrest in parts or all of the country.
  • Crime: Likely risk of being directly or indirectly affected by criminal incidents in parts or all of the country.
  • Health: Likely risk of being affected by serious disease/ substandard medical services in at least most of the country.
  • Kidnap and Ransom: Likely risk of being directly or indirectly impacted by acts of kidnapping in parts or all over the country.
  • Militancy: Likely risk of being directly or indirectly affected by a militant attack in parts of the country or all the entire country.
  • Political Situation: Likely risk of significant political changes that would affect operations in the country.

Country Risk Assessment – Critical Risk

Critical risk – almost certain potential of physical harm, likely additional travel/operational disruptions; avoid all travel to the area.

  • Armed Conflict: Strong risk of being directly or indirectly impacted by armed conflict in parts or all of the country.
  • Civil Unrest: Strong risk of being directly or indirectly impacted by acts of civil unrest in parts or all of the country.
  • Crime: Strong risk of being directly or indirectly affected by criminal incidents in parts or all of the country.
  • Health: Strong risk of being affected by serious disease/ poor medical services in at least most of the country 
  • Kidnap and Ransom: Strong risk of being directly or indirectly impacted by acts of kidnapping in parts or all over the country.
  • Militancy: Strong risk of being directly or indirectly affected by a militant attack in parts of the country or the entire country.
  • Political Situation: Strong risk of significant political changes that would affect operations in the country.