After a decade of civilian government in Myanmar, the military junta overthrew the then- ruling National League for Democracy (NLD) on February 1 and took over the country.
The development is not completely unheard of. However, since 1948, Myanmar has faced similar disputes of power, including a long civil war. In 2021, amid the Covid-19 pandemic, the historical and very much current political turmoil has positioned its people in a dire situation, as reports indicate health and public services operate in a limited capacity. Since the coup, Safeture has published over 250 alerts on anti-junta demonstrations, with more than 700 protesters killed by the government since. Besides the civilian mobilization, several insurgent
groups are also increasing their activities across the country, especially in Rakhine, Shan, Kachin, Karen, and Mandalay states as government troops wither. Attacks – often explosions and clashes with security forces – have been frequent over the last months. Generally, it is fair to conclude that the scenario in Myanmar will continue to be unstable through September. Anti-government demonstrations can be expected in urban centers such as Mandalay, Yangon, and Kale, and Covid-19 cases are likely to continue their upward trend, leading to further strain of the public health services. Separatist acts should also not be ruled out either, and travelers should account for infrastructure disruptions and adopt heightened security measures.